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Matt Hogan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, believes that Bitcoin could see significant growth in 2026 and should no longer rely on its traditional four-year cycle.

Hogan explained that the importance of the mining reward halving every four years has diminished, and other factors such as the interest rate cycle and political pressure to reduce it are now playing a more important role.

He pointed to Donald Trump's recent pressure on the Federal Reserve chairman to lower interest rates and said such a policy could be positive for Bitcoin because it reduces the attractiveness of traditional assets.

He also emphasized that the risk of severe market crashes has decreased because of clearer regulations and increased institutional investor participation.

Hogan predicts that Bitcoin’s uptrend during this period will be a steady and gradual rally rather than rapid spikes. In contrast, some analysts continue to believe in the old pattern and say that the price ceiling of this cycle may occur by October 2025.

Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $118,170 and has grown by more than 10% over the past month.